B-rye88 - by the river i really don't have that many bluffs in my range
Pretty sure I'm not saying anything you don't know, but this is probably less important than what he thinks you could have in your range.
Also, really? You never float this flop and then when called on the turn follow through on this river card? I mean either you can value bet AT here, in which case you think he can put you on enough bluffs to call with 8x or pocket 99's or something, or else you don't think you could value bet AT because he folds too much, in which case it seems like a spot where you should be bluffing with A5dd and all that crap 100% of the time.
Also look at what we block and how he has to play it. He has to take a range of A2ss, A3ss, A4ss, A5ss, A7ss, A9ss, and AQss and #1) 3bet it pre #2) Bet the flop (ok that's pretty likely) #3) X/C the turn (this is probably the most important part; I mean I get it with A3ss or A4ss and that's it) and then #4) Decide to x/r the river.
#2 is obviously very likely, but #1 it's doubtful he does with A9ss and maybe a few other ones given how deep you are, #3 seems weird with anything but A3 or A4.
#4 is kind of questionable. If he thinks you bet with anything you call a river lead with I guess river x/r is the right play since you can also bluff; but then, if he thinks you are bluffing lots such that a river x/r is good, then he could also think that as a bluff.
Idk, like I said gets ugly but I just think that with all that taken into account it starts to look like he has very few value combos.
Then again, up to you whether you think he's good enough to x/ship 7K to win 3300 on a bluff. I've folded in spots where there were 5 value combos simply because I didn't think he could have 3 bluff combos.