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well i was confused 10/20 live posted by Schweig @ Tue, 17 Apr 2012 20:55:05 +0000

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So you think that the-

% chance he raises a smaller flush for value > % chance he decides to bluff here with maybe the ASpade as a blocker or something?



Hmm thinking about this, I would say the latter % is what we have to question. I think the first part, whether he value check raises worse is actually fairly static and possibly negligible. He'd first have to have a smaller flush and also decide to check raise with them - seems fairly unlikely for any reg to do this without significant history.

I think the % chance he bluffs is something that I am fairly uncertain about. I'd probably have to give him the benefit of the doubt without many reads though.


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